Originariamente Scritto da
Mario85
è un comunicato che vale dal 18 al 22 Febbraio...invitano tutti coloro che devono fare previsioni a prendere in esame
Ukmo,
Ecmwf e
Gem in quanto ha 6 ore di ritardo nell'elaborare i modelli...
Looking at the global models, one more notable difference is
between the 12Z GFS and the 00Z runs of the other global models
(CMC, UKMET, ECMWF). The GFS is slower in ejecting a shortwave and
associated sheared lobe of vorticity to the northeast across the
Plains on Tuesday, and this results in a surface low that is about
6 hours slower than the other models. This affects the eastward
progression of the northern extent of the surface front, and thus
may affect precipitation patterns and other sensible weather
elements. Given a lack of substantial support among GEFS/ECMWF
ensemble clusters for this slower scenario, the preference is to
lean toward the CMC, UKMET, and ECMWF.
Segnalibri