L.A.M. Casting tempestoso del 31/01/2014

**morris.cruciani** · 31/01/2014, 11:05

attenzione MCS in risalita 140-160mm per Roma e provincia al confine con viterbese entro le 24:00.
Bollettino meteo

**Knopflertemporalesco** · 31/01/2014, 11:08

Originariamente Scritto da morris.cruciani

attenzione MCS in risalita 140-160mm per Roma e provincia al confine con viterbese entro le 24:00.
Bollettino meteo

altri 160 mm???
Oddio santo

**stefano85** · 31/01/2014, 11:08

Originariamente Scritto da morris.cruciani

attenzione MCS in risalita 140-160mm per Roma e provincia al confine con viterbese entro le 24:00.
Bollettino meteo

Se si verificasse tale previsione sarebbe lo sfacelo. \fp\
Alcune zone potrebbero arrivare vicine ai 300mm giornalieri.

Speriamo bene...

**morris.cruciani** · 31/01/2014, 11:16

Another area of concern in respect of excessive rain runs from the SW Tyrrhenian Sea to C-Italy and also from Sicily to the northeast. Uncertainties remain high regarding placement and strength of surface depressions and the structure of any surface front, but the set-up is prone to slow moving or training convection in this general area. Beneath those training MCS events, rainfall amounts in excess of 100 mm in a short amount of time (e.g. in a couple of hours) are possible and serious flash flooding is a distinct possibility. Certainly not all areas will see level 2 conditions, as mesoscale heavily influences the outcome of any MCS event.
Next to the rainfall risk, shear/CAPE overlap also supports organized convection. Any more discrete activity (e.g. tail-end storms) could become well organized with large hail, severe wind gusts and an isolated tornado event ... a strong event can't be ruled out!