Chase target di oggi southern Plains

[Andrerus]

medicine lodge

Fatto bibi?

[Andrerus]

ok, one virtual beer for me, please!

Seriously, that area near Wichita looks pretty good, I feel there can be squall-line with embeded supercells along the dryline in the late afternoon from central KS to OKC, with the best position near Wichita!

1991 wichita
Allegato 17453

[Cumulo]

Se devo dare una collocazione "personale" dove secondo me si avranno i maggiori effetti di questa passata temporalesca, dico a NE di Oklahoma City.

Andre

[Aragorth]

MD over se KS/ne OK is here, we should see explosive convection in few hours...



http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0358.html

not to mention this...

[Stormchaser]

I'm ready to go Aragorth!!!

[Aragorth]

Wow look at the satellite, really impressive Cu rising along the dryline in TX!!



Tstorms start to fire up also in west central OK

[Cumulo]

Aggiornamento di ETA.
Confermata la situazione potenzialmente esplosiva per le prossime ore.

Si parla di valori di elicitÃ* molto elevati, supportati da un buon ingresso di aria più fredda e soprattutto (cosa indispensabile per la formazione di supercelle tornadiche) da una potente jet-stream che nell'ultimo run viene ulteriormente rinforzata. Se si vuole trovare una "pecca", è il CAPE: i valori sono senz'altro buoni e saranno esaltati dai fattori sopra descritti, ma essendo a fine Marzo non si hanno ancora dei valori da urlo. Una sinottica del genere fra un 30/40 giorni sarebbe stata sicuramente da HIGH RISK.

Cmq, ecco qui:






Andre

[Stormchaser]

ottimo aggiornamento...ormai siamo vicinissimi!

[Stormchaser]

we have a PDS!!!


Particularly Dangerous Situation (PDS) Tornado Watch 109< Previous WW Next WW >
Initial RADAR image for Watch 109
Initial List of Counties in Watch 109 (WOU)
Note: The Watch Probability Tables are experimental. [SIZE=8pt]Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended. [/SIZE] SEL9 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 109 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 845 AM CST THU MAR 30 2006 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA NORTHERN OKLAHOMA EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 845 AM UNTIL 600 PM CST. ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER... THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF GRAND ISLAND NEBRASKA TO 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TULSA OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 108. WATCH NUMBER 108 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 845 AM CST. DISCUSSION...VIGOROUS TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED WIND MAX WILL BE DRIVING EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS TODAY. VERY STRONG SHEAR PROFILES COUPLED WITH MLCAPES TO 1500 PROVIDE INGREDIENTS FOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS ALONG AND EAST OF DRY LINE WHICH CURRENTLY IS LOCATED FROM CENTRAL KS INTO NWRN OK. INITIALLY LARGE HAIL WILL BE PRIMARY THREAT WITH TORNADOES BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY BY EARLY/MID AFTERNOON. AS SURFACE LOW NOW WRN KS MOVES NEWD TOWARD SERN NEB CONVERGENCE WILL ENHANCE POTENTIAL FOR POSSIBLE STRONG TORNADOES BOTH AHEAD OF LOW AND DOWN THE DRY LINE INTO NRN OK. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035. ...HALES

[Stormchaser]

Look at the situation in OK city!!!

This sounding is beautiful!!!