altro ciclone in Australia

**Blizzard** · 22/04/2006, 08:38

Secondo i vari enti Monica dovrebbe aver raggiunto la sua massima intensitÃ* e ritardare l'impatto con la terraferma a domenica notte/lunedÃ¬ mattina (ora locale).CAT5 secondo la scala australiana CAT4 x il JTWC e MSSL.Il BOM prevede raffiche nella zona prossima all'occhio fino a 290km/h

:

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica at 4 pm CST:
. Centre located near...... 12.4 degrees South 139.2 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 40 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... slowly towards the northwest
. Wind gusts near centre... 290 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 5
. Central pressure......... 935 hectoPascals

Codice:

. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 011    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   220000Z --- NEAR 12.6S 139.3E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

**Blizzard** · 22/04/2006, 08:41

L'occhio si intravede giÃ* sul radar:

Ed ecco il Sat:

**Blizzard** · 22/04/2006, 11:39

Aggiornamento BOM: Previsti venti fino a 320km/h!!!

Remarks:
GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are expected to develop between GROOTE EYLANDT and ELCHO ISLAND, including NHULUNBUY and ALYANGULA, overnight or early Sunday morning. GALES may increase to DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 160 kilometres per hour in this area later on Sunday if the cyclone moves closer to the coast. GALES near the outer edge of the cyclone may extend as far south as PORT ROPER overnight or west to MANINGRIDA later on Sunday.

The VERY DESTRUCTIVE core of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica with gusts to 320 kilometres per hour may approach the northern Arnhem Land coast later on Sunday or Monday.

GALES may extend further west into Arnhem land and along the coast to POINT STUART, including CAPE DON, during Monday.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between GROOTE EYLANDT and ELCHO ISLAND during Sunday.

HEAVY RAIN is expected to cause significant stream rises and flooding of low lying areas on Sunday and Monday in northeastern Arnhem land.

**Blizzard** · 22/04/2006, 16:36

Pressione scesa a 925hpa.....

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica at 10 pm CST:
. Centre located near...... 12.1 degrees South 138.7 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 40 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the northwest at 10 kilometres per hour
. Wind gusts near centre... 320 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 5
. Central pressure......... 925 hectoPascals

**rainbow** · 22/04/2006, 19:12

scusate ma quando dovrebbe avere i suoi "effetti" negativi?diventerÃ* piÃ¹ potente a breve?ciao grazie

**Blizzard** · 22/04/2006, 19:23

Originariamente Scritto da rainbow

scusate ma quando dovrebbe avere i suoi "effetti" negativi?diventerÃ* piÃ¹ potente a breve?ciao grazie

Il ciclone dovrebbe ormai aver raggiunto l'apice come intensitÃ* dei venti e mantenere tale forza x altre 24h circa, per poi iniziare a scemare lentamente...... in realtÃ* non dovrebbe impattare con la terraferma ma circumnavigarla lentamente e a distanza ravvicinata.Si prevedono cmq venti fino a 160km/h sulle coste e piogge abbondanti......

**Blizzard** · 23/04/2006, 13:24

Mamma mia! Venti a 350km/h e SLP di 905hpa!

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica at 7 pm CST:
. Centre located near...... 11.3 degrees South 137.1 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west at 12 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 350 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 5
. Central pressure......... 905 hectoPascals

**Aragorth** · 23/04/2006, 21:19

What the hell is this?? 868.6hPa??!

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/adt/odt26.html

This just cannot be true

**Blizzard** · 23/04/2006, 23:31

Originariamente Scritto da Aragorth

What the hell is this?? 868.6hPa??!

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/adt/odt26.html

This just cannot be true

I think it's too much! The Australian Bureau of Meteorology reports a value of 910hpa.......anyway a terrific value!!!

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica at 4 am CST:
. Centre located near...... 11.3 degrees South 135.8 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west at 15 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 350 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 5
. Central pressure......... 910 hectoPascals

Enrico_3bmeteo · 24/04/2006, 07:33

Categoria 5
Praticamente sta rasentando il landfall ma continua ad essere alimentato egregiamente, nonostante parte delle correnti provengano dalla terraferma..