Un nuovo Super Inverno alle porte?

**LucaOly85** · 20/10/2010, 08:41

Intanto JB conferma la correlazione tra onda calda estiva con Nino - anomalie di ottobre - anomalie invernali... ed è una tendenza che va a confermare quanto è già stato detto da queste parti. Onestamente mi aspettavo qualche spiegazione in più, ma va bene comunque

THE WINTER OUTLOOK FOR EUROPE

EUROPE

In 2003, the fierce heat wave centered in France was replaced by a chilly October, and when winter came, much of Europe was warmer than normal. However the area that was near normal to a bit below was close to where that heat wave was.. and then eastward through southern and southeastern Europe.

This years August heat wave, like 2003, coming off an el nino winter the year before, was over Russia and into central Europe,. October has been cold in much of this area and guess what, the winter will be most fierce from Euro-Russia into the Alps. Russian temps as much as 3C below normal for the winter are possible, 1-2 C below normal westward into the Alps. Most of northwest Europe will be near to a little below normal ( up to 1C below normal) while northern and central Scandinavia Scotland, and Ireland are near or a bit above normal.

Snowfall will be above normal across much of Europe with heaviest in the Alps into Russia, perhaps a bit below normal in northern areas.

To sum up, a severe winter looks to be on table from the Alps into Russia, but winter in Great Britain and Ireland will not be as severe as last year.

Globally. Opposite of last year, the globe will be cooling considerably and temps by Spring should be running near or below the normal. This trend will probably make 2011 the coolest year since the late 90s. Arctic sea ice will continue to recover from the 2007 lows, with the summer ice melt season next year probably returning ice to pre 2006 levels

In sostanza inverno più "duro" tra alpi e russia europea, in russia temperature anche di 3° sotto la norma, verso ovest invece tra 1° e 2°... in media o poco sopra per Scandinavia (settentrionale e centrale), Scozia e Irlanda.