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Discussione: Atene, che forno!

  1. #971
    Burrasca L'avatar di Borat
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    Predefinito Re: Atene, che forno!

    A quick note.

    Watch the table in the 1985 paper


    Now let's compute the NOAA mean for 1860-1890

    mean tmin1860-1890 = (8.23+27.41) / 2 = 17.82

    Now let's compute the NOAA mean for 1958-1982:

    mean1958-1982= (9.27+27.43) / 2 = 18.35

    The first mean fits, but the second mean does not fit the value on the table.

    Maybe a typo in the table, or, less likely, an effect of the calculation method.

    But according to the NOAA calculation method, in the last years of the series (1958-1982) the overall mean computed for Thiseio is not equal to the 1860-1890, it is greater instead.

    I want the raw data to check by my hands and my software that stuff.

    Mesa, please after providing me the informations about your doctoral committe, let also me have the daily raw Thiseio data, if possible for the period 1860-2009. Thanks in advance.


  2. #972
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    Predefinito Re: Atene, che forno!

    Citazione Originariamente Scritto da Borat Visualizza Messaggio

    1) no UHI at Thiseio: Thiseio has UHI, sized 1.4°C in tmin at 4 million population
    2) Thiseio is non urban station. Thiseio is labeled urban by Greek researchers, and maps show in full evidence it is a minuscle hill surrounded by million pepople and just 35 meters higher that the city just North-west from it
    3) Thiseio is representative for Athens. Thiseio is on top-hill position with 35 meters altitude difference with Kotjia square. Which percentage of Athens is in top-hill position in such a way? Watching at the maps, only some small parts. Remember that a top hill position deflates tmin, and a so small altitude difference can 1) protect the site from shadowing and negative UHI 2) impatc only for few tenth of °C the tmax because of altitude increase.
    4) Greek method of computing means in the most scientific and does not inflate means. My data, finally, suggest that this "Greek" method (but in my opinion it was very common) maybe is more scientific in form, but it leads to the same results of the standard NOAA method of computation for tmed. Compared to contemporary integration methods, it inflates mean temperatures in all months of the year. Here a quick exemple by season, still my data.
    1.I never said there is no UHI,I have said that the UHI is almost totally eliminated by the Tmax decrease in Thiseio.

    This is what the Observatory says for Thiseio and not for wider Athens.




    So I fail to see how by twisting the words of the paper and my words you expect that in a way you have academically discredited a paper based on calculations without having the data of each and every specific station.It is pretty obvious that we clearly have the data only from Thiseio and all the other data are merged and averaged.The differences between stations would proove problematic since you do not have any data.

    And here again



    And here again the same ''general'' assumption for Athens of tmax decrease from your own source!!

    uhi.jpg



    I am sorry for the personal tone but I do remember you claimed to be a sociologist and not a PhD holder in Meteorology.

    In Psychology we say that when the motive is strong then the ego ''inflates'' .Now I would assume that it is not so much that you want to discredit the article but invalidate Mesogeiakos.I am wrong?

    2 and 3.I was clearly refering to our conversation regarding the maximum temperatures,I believe that was our dialogue and I said that Thiseio is indeed representative of Athens.Look what the paper says

    paper.jpg


    You do remember that the July max for Thiseio is 33.1 right?Anyhow ,how can one simple station be representative of a unique geomorphologically speaking basin?Off course it cant.So there goes your second twisting of my words.

    Again look what they say.Not a single comment from you about this.I wonder why?






    Now in terms of the altitude....For the life of me I really can not understand why you keep on accepting 35m difference comparing a station at the other end of the historic center and a station on top of a hill. I mean do I speak for nothing???The altitude difference between Thiseio station and the bottom of the hill is 60 metres at least

    Here you can find the official automatic National Observatory Station at Gkazi which is next to Thiseio station at the base of hill at an altitude of 50metres.Btw it is totally junk in my opinion and check the averages for July. It now stands at 29.5 higher than the other junk station of Peristeri!

    -

    In terms of the station being urban again this is not correct exactly.The paper calls it ''Urban on a hill''

    4) But again your calculations simply come from merged averages without having the exact data for each and every station thus trying to overgeneralize has zero practical meaning since the error in your calculations is significant.



    Now let's come to the essence which is discrediting Mesogeiakos and not the paper.Am I correct?And why do you feel compelled to do this?Am I somekind of a ''perceived'' threat to your ego?
    Ultima modifica di mesogeiakos; 24/07/2010 alle 15:25

  3. #973
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    Predefinito Re: Atene, che forno!

    [QUOTE=Borat;1058335502]

    Citazione Originariamente Scritto da Borat Visualizza Messaggio
    Please tell me who are the members of your phd committe, and provide also (in MP it is OK) their e-mail address, your academic institution and doctoral course and cycle, and your name and surname.

    I will invite you phd advisors to read this topic and to evaluate you when discussing climatological facts here. It will be very funny exposing you to being ridiculed and kicked the ass by a sociologist in front of academics in climatology on one hand, and to the academic evaluation of your misreasoning in ways that are antipodes from methodological thinking, mis-representing, and sometimes also lying on the other hand.
    Oh come on this is pretty low answer.You can do better

  4. #974
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    Predefinito Re: Atene, che forno!

    Citazione Originariamente Scritto da Borat Visualizza Messaggio
    A quick note.

    Watch the table in the 1985 paper
    Immagine


    Now let's compute the NOAA mean for 1860-1890

    mean tmin1860-1890 = (8.23+27.41) / 2 = 17.82

    Now let's compute the NOAA mean for 1958-1982:

    mean1958-1982= (9.27+27.43) / 2 = 18.35

    The first mean fits, but the second mean does not fit the value on the table.

    Maybe a typo in the table, or, less likely, an effect of the calculation method.

    But according to the NOAA calculation method, in the last years of the series (1958-1982) the overall mean computed for Thiseio is not equal to the 1860-1890, it is greater instead.

    I want the raw data to check by my hands and my software that stuff.

    Mesa, please after providing me the informations about your doctoral committe, let also me have the daily raw Thiseio data, if possible for the period 1860-2009. Thanks in advance.

    you could very well email the Observatory.I am not in a position to know how these come up.If you think it is a mistake or a methodological irregularity you are welcome to do

  5. #975
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    Predefinito Re: Atene, che forno!

    Εcco Atene oggi...''solo'' 38.5 con previsti di 40.0 oggi!!!

    Ath.jpg

  6. #976
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    Predefinito Re: Atene, che forno!

    Stucchevole il tentativo poco scientifico di confrontare mele con patate, con il solo e inutile scopo di dire che una cittā č la pių calda dell'universo. Segnalo che io ho registrato una t media di 37,1° C ieri sotto l'ascella, pur sotto passata temporalesca.
    Passatemi la battuta, giusto per riportare la discussione a un livello pių umoristico.
    Pietro

  7. #977
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    Predefinito Re: Atene, che forno!

    Citazione Originariamente Scritto da lothar Visualizza Messaggio
    Stucchevole il tentativo poco scientifico di confrontare mele con patate, con il solo e inutile scopo di dire che una cittā č la pių calda dell'universo. Segnalo che io ho registrato una t media di 37,1° C ieri sotto l'ascella, pur sotto passata temporalesca.
    Passatemi la battuta, giusto per riportare la discussione a un livello pių umoristico.
    Dove sei adesso?In Bulgaria?

    Cosa e questo BG ?

  8. #978
    dedalus27
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    Predefinito Re: Atene, che forno!

    Oggi, 24 Luglio 2010, temperature massima giornaliera:
    Sigonella 41ēC, Larissa (Grecia) 40ēC, Badajoz (Spagna) 40ēC

    Europa, 24 Luglio 2010.jpg

    LUGLIO 2010 Temperature massime giornaliere in Spagna, Italia e Grecia, ordinati in ordine decrescente:

    24/07/2010: Sigonella 41ēC, Larissa 40ēC (Elefsina 36ēC), Badajoz 40ēC
    23/07/2010: Enna/Sigonella 39ēC, Cordoba 38ēC, Zante/Lamia/Larissa/Hellinikon 37ēC (Elefsina 36ēC)
    22/07/2010: Capo Frasca 38ēC, Malaga 37ēC, Hellinikon 37ēC (Elefsina 36ēC)
    21/07/2010: Malaga 37ēC, Sigonella 36ēC, Elefsina 35ēC
    20/07/2010: Decimomannu 37ēC, Saragozza 36ēC, Hellenikon 36ēC (Elefsina 35ēC)
    19/07/2010: Siviglia 38ēC, Decimomannu 36ēC, Samo 35ēC (Elefsina 34ēC)
    18/07/2010: Cordoba 40ēC, Guidonia 38ēC, Lamia 36ēC (Elefsina 35ēC)
    17/07/2010: Cordoba/Siviglia 40ēC, Decimomannu 40ēC, Araxos 36ēC (Elefsina 35ēC)
    16/07/2010: Amendola 39ēC, Murcia 37ēC, Araxos 37ēC (Elefsina 33ēC)
    15/07/2010: Decimomannu 40ēC, Lamia 38ēC (Elefsina 37ēC), Murcia 37ēC
    14/07/2010: Murcia 39ēC, Trapani 38ēC, Elefsina 37ēC
    13/07/2010: Malaga 38ēC, Alghero 37ēC, Larissa 36ēC (Elefsina 34ēC)
    12/07/2010: Cordoba 38ēC, Larissa 36ēC (Elefsina 34ēC), Sigonella 35ēC
    11/07/2010: Saragozza 39ēC, Decimomannu 38ēC, Larissa 34ēC (Elefsina 33ēC)
    10/07/2010: Cordoba 41ēC, Roma-Urbe 37ēC, Lamia 33ēC (Elefsina 32ēC)
    09/07/2010: Saragozza 40ēC, Firenze-Peretola 35ēC, Lamia 33ēC (Elefsina 30ēC)
    08/07/2010: Saragozza/Almeria 40ēC, Firenze-Peretola 37ēC, Kalamata 33ēC (Elefsina 29ēC)
    07/07/2010: Siviglia 40ēC, Decimomannu 36ēC, Elefsina 35ēC
    06/07/2010: Cordoba 40ēC, Larissa 35ēC (Elefsina 33ēC), Decimomannu 34ēC
    05/07/2010: Cordoba/Siviglia 41ēC, Amendola 37ēC, Elefsina 35ēC
    04/07/2010: Cordoba/Siviglia 40ēC, Decimomannu 37ēC, Lamia 35ēC (Elefsina 34ēC)
    03/07/2010: Cordoba 36ēC, Guidonia 35ēC, Elefsina 33ēC
    02/07/2010: Cordoba 38ēC, Grosseto 35ēC, Mitilini 34ēC (Elefsina 33ēC)
    01/07/2010: Cordoba/Badajoz 39ēC, Grosseto 35ēC, Samo 33ēC (Elefsina 31ēC)

    La Grecia non ha ottenuto il primo posto nessun giorno nel mese di luglio:

    Spagna: 17 giorni il primo posto
    Italia: 6 giorni
    Spagna/Italia (stessa temperatura): 1 giorno
    Grecia: 0 giorno

    Numero di giorni con temperatura pari/superiori 40°C:

    Cordoba 6
    Decimomannu 2
    Larissa 1 (Elefsina 0)
    Ultima modifica di dedalus27; 24/07/2010 alle 21:29

  9. #979
    dedalus27
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    Predefinito Re: Atene, che forno!

    Citazione Originariamente Scritto da mesogeiakos Visualizza Messaggio

    This is what the Observatory says for Thiseio and not for wider Athens.


    Immagine



    Il link completo per l'isola di calore ad Atene:
    http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/...I%3E2.0.CO%3B2

    Estratti dal link che non č stato commentato da Mesiogeiakos:

    Heat Island Athens I.jpg

    Heat Island Athens II.jpg

    Heat Island Athens III.jpg

    Heat Island Athens IV.jpg

    Heat Island Athens V.jpg

    Heat Island Athens VI.jpg

    Anche nei periodi pių freddi (1950-1980) le temperature minime hanno continuato ad aumentare in Atene!:

    Heat Island Athens VII.jpg

    Lo studio scientifico č stato condotto negli anni '80'. Attualmente, l'isola di calore č pių forte in Atene: La cittā ha continuato a crescere.
    E come assurdo negare l'effetto isola di calore nelle grandi cittā! Nessun meteorologo avrebbe osato fare una cosa simile.
    Ultima modifica di dedalus27; 24/07/2010 alle 23:46

  10. #980
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    Predefinito Re: Atene, che forno!

    Citazione Originariamente Scritto da mesogeiakos Visualizza Messaggio
    Dove sei adesso?In Bulgaria?

    Cosa e questo BG ?
    Provincia di Bergamo Lombardia
    SITO METEO PERSONALE con WEBCAM dal 31/07/2011
    MeteoAlmennoSanSalvatore

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