Uragano Gustav Cat. 2 landfall in Louisiana

[debris74]

EDIT:

landfall avvenuto a cat.3



EDIT:

gustav ha passato Cuba indebolendosi più del previsto. l'eyewall è collassato e l'ultima missione ha trovato 960mb e 100kt (cat.3). NHC mantiente cmq l'intensità a oltre 115kt perchè prevede un nuovo rinforzo ora che l'uragano è di nuovo over wrm water. landfall previsto poco a ovest di new orleans come un disastroso cat.4

---------------------------------------------------------------------


il potenziale termico è al massimo e lo shear debole - le prossime ore dovrebbero vedere gustav diventare un borderline cat.2-3 con la perdita di 40-50 mb. prima del landfall con cuba.

Storm GUSTAV1: Observed By Air Force #307
Storm #07 in Atlantic Ocean
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 71KT (81.7mph 131.5km/h) In NE Quadrant At 19:02:40 Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 63.9KT (73.5mph 118.3km/h) *
Misc Remarks: SURFACE WIND OBSERVED VISUALLY
Date/Time of Recon Report: Friday, August 29, 2008 9:11:00 PM (Fri, 29 Aug 2008 19:11:00 UTC)
Position of the center: 18° 59' N 079° 24' W (19.0°N 79.4°W) [See Map]
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 700mb: 2924m (Normal: 3011)
Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 78KT (89.7MPH 144.5km/h)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured 21nm (24.15miles) From Center At Bearing 82°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 71KT (81.65mph 131.5km/h) From 157°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 27nm (31.0 miles) From Center At Bearing 73°
Minimum pressure: 980 mb (28.94in)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: CLOSED
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being Circular , 25 nm (28.8 mi 46.3km) wide
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 700mb
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 0.02nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 1nm
* = Estimated Surface Winds are assumed 90% of Max Flight Level Winds