Tornado Alley Forecasts, Nowcasting and Reports

[Ben]

Benuzzo,e a me dove mi lasci? Ha fatto un tornado a McLean!(large tornado)

Cmq a parte gli scherzi, qualsiasi target oggi era azzeccato..Ben 65 tornado e la maggior parte concentrata nella Panhandle. Giornata mitica.

visto, visto Petruccio
Più che altro era un problema di orario per avere abbastanza luce per la caccia e per le foto.
Mitica giornata comunque. Un mercoledì da leoni,......bisognava essere li, però.

[griffa-petrucci]

Another thing...what do you guys think of today's setup? I am starting to like the area near Wichita Falls and Gainesville, TX along that quite strong convergence and dryline, also plenty of cape there with decent shear.

Another spot in south-central NE close to KS border like south of Holdrege, NE.

What do you think, will we see an update into MDT risk at the next SPC outlook at 12z...it smells like that if you ask me

I have to ammitt that I've some interests toward those zones,Marko: I should go to Firederich,Ok, but Medicine Lodge has got a better terrain, so if I can I go out there.

[griffa-petrucci]

visto, visto Petruccio
Più che altro era un problema di orario per avere abbastanza luce per la caccia e per le foto.
Mitica giornata comunque. Un mercoledì da leoni,......bisognava essere li, però.

Si dovrebbe esserci luce fino alle 20.30 per fare buone foto...E cmq adesso ho il 17-70 sigma F2.8 (ordine inviato con sanmarino)

[Aragorth]

e poi come Gene Moore insegna il day 2 è buono raramente.

hmm...why?

I wonder if this huge MCS will leave any good outflow boudaries lying west of it closer to the dryline where it could be nice again...although SPC repeated SLGT risk, they did not upgrade it...and they excluded NE out of greater risk and put more into TX/OK part...

[griffa-petrucci]

hmm...why?

I wonder if this huge MCS will leave any good outflow boudaries lying west of it closer to the dryline where it could be nice again...although SPC repeated SLGT risk, they did not upgrade it...and they excluded NE out of greater risk and put more into TX/OK part...

Probably they are making the target using Eta 12Z. So far Ruc is giving some good probabilities for south-central Ks: shear might be grater in those zones..I'm anxious to see Eta 12Z.

[griffa-petrucci]

hmm...why?

It was an anciente advise Gene gave us some years ago

[Aragorth]

Probably they are making the target using Eta 12Z. So far Ruc is giving some good probabilities for south-central Ks: shear might be grater in those zones..I'm anxious to see Eta 12Z.

Exactly, as I checked the forecast soundings, it does look good there near OK/KS border...I am moving to Alva, OK...and wait for the latest runs to come out

[griffa-petrucci]

Exactly, as I checked the forecast soundings, it does look good there near OK/KS border...I am moving to Alva, OK...and wait for the latest runs to come out

Ahiaiai Marko, Ruc pushes the clou eastward; Eta 12Z pushes westward...What to do? I follow Ruc and I go in Medicine Lodge(maybe Harper Cauni) and I wait Ruc nex update about the position of dryline. Forecast is difficult today.

[Aragorth]

Ahiaiai Marko, Ruc pushes the clou eastward; Eta 12Z pushes westward...What to do? I follow Ruc and I go in Medicine Lodge(maybe Harper Cauni) and I wait Ruc nex update about the position of dryline. Forecast is difficult today.

I was affraid this will happen...different dryline position was noticed on the previous RUC...and thats why I parked myself in Alva, OK

Tell me, on which link do you look at latest ETA? it doesn't work for me on the COD website

[griffa-petrucci]

I was affraid this will happen...different dryline position was noticed on the previous RUC...and thats why I parked myself in Alva, OK

Tell me, on which link do you look at latest ETA? it doesn't work for me on the COD website

Neither for me.
See Earl Barker's.