cmq carte strepitose sul breve e sul lungo. che stagione! peccato perderci il 5
Ciccio io sto guardando Eta e per ora la dry line produce a SW di Ok City dalle 0Z in avanti(03Z), e sto parlando di un paio di sup isolate. Non c'è niente da dire...Noi cominciamo ad arrivare poi vedremo.
Vedo ora le carte per il 6 maggio..mica male quella dry line![]()
Andrea Griffa
www.cacciatoriditornado.it
www.tornado-tour.com
Coautore del libro "temporali e tornado"
Marko Korosec, Slovenia
Severe Weather Europe - http://www.severe-weather.EU
www.Weather-Photos.NET | http://www.facebook.com/WeatherPhotos.NET
Andrea Griffa
www.cacciatoriditornado.it
www.tornado-tour.com
Coautore del libro "temporali e tornado"
[quote=griffa-petrucci;970278]Ma no Cicus, tranquillo, quel problema è davvero raro con le dry lines...Secondo me ad Altus è un macello di
avevo sbagliato carta. sono queste le precipitazioni che mi preoccupano
Marko Korosec, Slovenia
Severe Weather Europe - http://www.severe-weather.EU
www.Weather-Photos.NET | http://www.facebook.com/WeatherPhotos.NET
oh great...WRF is trully SPECTACULAR for tomorrow setup...I smell an amazing outbreak! Damn this unfair world...![]()
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Few words from ST forum...
Still a ways to go before Saturday and a lot of details to flesh out, but the 18Z NAM/GFS are looking downright apocalyptic. Shear/instability profiles are comparable to May 4, 2003 (a significantly different setup, though), except this time it's over an even larger area. Storm motions look to be a little speedy, but not unbearable.
Friday looks pretty interesting as well, though as has been discussed it appears that storms could come at a premium. Something of interest to note is that it's actually possible that the show could start from storms firing near the triple point before sundown Friday and continue (perhaps with a bit of a break or none at all) through the night and into the next day. The thermodynamic conditions at night do not preclude this from happening, as the cap is not especially strong in the wee hours Saturday morning and CAPE is plentiful. It could be interesting to work with a nice LLJ in the middle of the night, I recall this happened very early in the morning on May 8, 2003, when a monster wedge occurred in southern OK before the big show later during daytime. At any rate, as things stand now, if Saturday still looks like this on the models tomorrow I'd definitely go high risk on the day 2, as setups don't look any more impressive than this.
EDIT: 00Z NAM/GFS are out, and it's still looking like a monster outbreak for Saturday. The NAM/GFS are still hinting at the potential for some activity Friday night in Oklahoma. This continues to look really scary.![]()
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Marko Korosec, Slovenia
Severe Weather Europe - http://www.severe-weather.EU
www.Weather-Photos.NET | http://www.facebook.com/WeatherPhotos.NET
Ragazzi...Sono davvero problemi adesso...Si è spostato tutto più a est...Credo che potremmo anche atterrare con un grosso tornado outbreak..Non ci voleva...Domani potremmo avere un high risk sulla testa...![]()
Prego soltanto che la dryline produca dalle 3Z in avanti, senno non sarebbe bellissimo atterrare con queste condizioni
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Non so ragazzi, probabilmente potremmo perdere un sacco di tempo con queste condizioni meteo prima di atterrare...
Gabriele, dop ci sent per telefono.
Ultima modifica di griffa-petrucci; 04/05/2007 alle 08:40
Andrea Griffa
www.cacciatoriditornado.it
www.tornado-tour.com
Coautore del libro "temporali e tornado"
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