Tornado Alley Forecasts, Nowcasting and Reports

[debris74]

[griffa-petrucci]

incomincio a pensare che in una zona che va dal central nebraska al nord del kansas, potrebbe starci l'high risk. Il mio target speculativo a oggi è ovviamente Beatrice, KS

Ma va? Gyarda non l'avrei mai detto! Magari ti fermeresti al Mc Donald all'inizio di Beatrice seguendo la strada principale?

[debris74]

Ma va? Gyarda non l'avrei mai detto! Magari ti fermeresti al Mc Donald all'inizio di Beatrice seguendo la strada principale?

costruirei la casa di fianco a quel McDonald...

[Aragorth]

Hmmmm you think n-ctrl KS into s-ctrl NE would get HIGH risk? There is a MDT risk guaranted, no doubt for that. We sure are close to MDT+ as well, good chance for an outbreak. It just looks fu**able setup there man, seriously Well a preliminary target after latest model runs would be Concordia, KS.

Fabio, with all respect...where the hell is Beatrice, KS?? And why there if you meant Beatrice, NE?

[griffa-petrucci]

Hmmmm you think n-ctrl KS into s-ctrl NE would get HIGH risk? There is a MDT risk guaranted, no doubt for that. We sure are close to MDT+ as well, good chance for an outbreak. It just looks fu**able setup there man, seriously Well a preliminary target after latest model runs would be Concordia, KS.

Fabio, with all respect...where the hell is Beatrice, KS?? And why there if you meant Beatrice, NE?

So far my target is Arthur NE, north east of Ogallala. Beatrice is a little town in the SE part of Nebraska..Fabio probably has got a story to tell...

[Aragorth]

So far my target is Arthur NE, north east of Ogallala. Beatrice is a little town in the SE part of Nebraska..Fabio probably has got a story to tell...

I know where is Beatrice, thats what I meant

Hmm you're playing with the northern part of dryline don't you...it sure does look nice with wind profile, but doesn't impress me with instabillity. Tell me...do you usually position yourself exactly on the dryline to target the first storms or put yourself a bit east of boundary and wait things to explode and then move west?

Here are two NAM forecasts...for Concordia and Ogallala

[Cumulo]

Il migliore shear dovrebbe trovarsi inizialmente tra Kansas settentrionale e Nebraska, solo che sarà poco supportato dai parametri energetici, un po' scarsini.
Più in basso invece la dry-line potrebbe sfornare qualche bella cella data la buona energia (2500/3000 j/kg) a disposizione.
Un'incognita il giorno successivo, dove nel Texas potrebbe generarsi un buon pattern anche se al momento il tutto è un po' oscuro...

Secondo me cmq un mdt risk ci sta tutto
Boh vedremo..ciauz

[griffa-petrucci]

I know where is Beatrice, thats what I meant

Hmm you're playing with the northern part of dryline don't you...it sure does look nice with wind profile, but doesn't impress me with instabillity. Tell me...do you usually position yourself exactly on the dryline to target the first storms or put yourself a bit east of boundary and wait things to explode and then move west?

Here are two NAM forecasts...for Concordia and Ogallala

Tomorrow I'd like to play along the dry line and see what happens. I know that instability is not the best but I like the sfc flow. We have 55 of dew, it could improve tomorrow.
Anyway I'm curious to take a lokk to Nam 12Z

[Aragorth]

Tomorrow I'd like to play along the dry line and see what happens. I know that instability is not the best but I like the sfc flow. We have 55 of dew, it could improve tomorrow.
Anyway I'm curious to take a lokk to Nam 12Z

Yes I see, LL winds are nice there. Lets wait for new run if it changes anything..

Take a look at this map, you dont see so SHARP boundary on the maps every day!

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ETA/..._2_dewp_54.gif

[debris74]

Fabio, with all respect...where the hell is Beatrice, KS?? And why there if you meant Beatrice, NE?

aah NE, sry my mistake! btw was just a joke. but remember when u want see a tornado go to Beatrice, NE, or Anthony, KS.