Tornado Alley Forecasts, Nowcasting and Reports

**Aragorth** · 03/04/2007, 18:01

Originariamente Scritto da griffa-petrucci

Il mio target è Murray, Kentucky

Paris, TX

**debris74** · 03/04/2007, 18:34

Originariamente Scritto da Aragorth

Paris, TX

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0087884/

ehi Marko, what about fantameteo? is it still good?

**Aragorth** · 03/04/2007, 18:41

Originariamente Scritto da debris74

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0087884/

ehi Marko, what about fantameteo? is it still good?

lol

Umm no thanks, I prefer Coca Cola or Sprite or MountainDew

And yes, it does look pretty impressive for the days after April 11th

**debris74** · 03/04/2007, 18:54

Originariamente Scritto da Aragorth

lol

Umm no thanks, I prefer Coca Cola or Sprite or MountainDew

And yes, it does look pretty impressive for the days after April 11th

holy sh*t:

**Aragorth** · 03/04/2007, 19:11

yea, take a look at this link here...looks very good after day 9, polar jet moves more to the south, we will see a lot of activity in that week or so, hopefully. And wish this will repeat in similar way during May

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwp...s/12/fpc.shtml

you can change that number "12" to all runs, so its possible to put 00, 06, 12 and 18 in there to get all runs.

**Aragorth** · 03/04/2007, 19:19

wow SPC mesocale analyses looks nice over MO/AR and well towards ne TX...there is already ~4000 SBCAPE, LI -10, T/Td's at ~ 80/68F

Good 1km EHI and SRH and the most important...this mass is still deeply capped over TX so lets see how high CAPE can go before it explodes

**Aragorth** · 03/04/2007, 21:57

CAPE above 4500 in e TX and up to 3500 northeast into MO/AR area...the CAP almost erroded, surprisedly very steep lapse rates over se OK into ne TX, from 8.5-9K/km between H5-7 levels?!

Here are some latest shots...

slightly capped cumulus field with SBCAPEs near 4500

and that nasty MCS above, still no tornado reports...jsut lots of hail and probably damaging winds soon, squall-line/bows look pretty juicy