El Niño 2014/15?

[steph]

Vediamo il MEI:

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In other words, the simple-minded odds for El Niño remain at or above 80% through the remainder of 2014, and are consistent with previous discussions on this website. The odds for a strong El Niño are perhaps slightly higher than before, somewhere around 60%.

Ribadisco la mia proiezione *molto* conservativa.